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Proteinification & Dairy’s Revival: New Trends Are Reshaping the Dairy Aisle

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  • 4 min read

By Robin Wenzel, Head of Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute

Reprinted with permission from Wells Fargo Agri-Food Institute Quarterly Update, December 2025. Photos courtesy of Wells Fargo.* (March 3, 2026)


The food industry is undergoing a seismic shift, driven by two converging trends: the rise of proteinification—the enrichment of everyday foods with added protein— and the widespread adoption of GLP-1 medications like Ozempic and Wegovy for weight management. Together, these forces are reshaping consumer behavior, fueling innovation, and sparking renewed demand for dairy products.


Holy Cow – Dairy Demand Surges


It’s a crisp fall afternoon in Edina, Minnesota. Near the high school football stadium, the cross-country team wraps up practice with an honored tradition: gallons of whole chocolate milk. This ritual stands in contrast to a 14-year decline in fluid milk consumption—but it’s also a sign of change. In 2024, fluid milk sales increased for the first time since 2009, driven by a growing appreciation for dairy’s nutrient-dense profile and protein content.1


Protein has recently evolved from a niche nutrient for athletes to a mainstream dietary priority. Consumers are increasingly perceiving dairy as a satisfying snack, a compliment to weight control, and as maintenance of overall health. This shift is reflected in grocery aisles, where protein-enriched snacks, beverages, and meals are becoming the norm.

Why the Surge?

  • Health & wellness focus: Protein is seen as essential for muscle maintenance, metabolism, and energy.

  • Convenience: Ready-to-eat, high-protein options fit busy lifestyles.

  • Marketing & media: Clear labeling and influencer - driven campaigns have made protein a “must-have” attribute.

According to the International Food information Council (IFIC), 71% of Americans actively seek more protein in their diets.2 Protein will remain a strategic focal point for food and beverage manufacturers, driving innovation and product development as consumers demand for high-protein increases.



GLP-1 Medications: A Catalyst for Change


GLP-1 drugs are transforming how people eat. Originally developed for diabetes, these medications are now widely used for weight loss, prompting a shift toward nutrient-dense, portion-controlled foods.

Key points:


  • GLP-1 users consume 20-30% fewer calories daily.3

  • They prioritize high-protein, high-fiber meals.

  • GLP-1 users cut grocery spending by 6% within 6 months, especially on ultra-processed snacks and desserts.4


This shift is accelerating demand for functional foods— and dairy is stepping up.


Udderly Innovative: Dairy’s Response


Food manufacturers are responding with value-added dairy products that meet the needs of health-conscious and GLP-1-driven consumers. Brands like Fairlife (CocaCola) are leading the way with high-protein, low-sugar, lactose-free milk. Ultra-High Temperature (UHT) milk is also gaining popularity for its extended shelf life and portability—ideal for on-the-go protein.5


Dairy’s renaissance isn’t limited to milk. Cheese, yogurt, and cottage cheese are all gaining traction:

  • Cheese consumption hit a record 40 lbs per person in 2023, with room to grow when compared to France 60.4 lbs per person.6, 7 Sack lunches would not be complete without sticks of Sargento cheese while bypassing the juice box for a bottle of Muscle Milk.

  • Yogurt is a leader in protein fortification, with brands like Chobani and Dannon offering high-protein formats like shakes and pouches. This includes flavored Greek yogurt as well as fruit infused varieties.

  • Cottage cheese is the breakout star of 2025, with sales up 20% year-over-year and flavor innovation on the horizon.8 Cottage cheese is a significant bargain value when compared to meat-based alternatives.

 

U.S. dairy product production generates $124 billion in revenue, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.2% expected through 2030. While this growth may appear modest, it marks a positive shift for the industry, which experienced an average annual decline of 3.2% from 2020 to 2025.9

 

Running on Empty: Processing Bottlenecks 

 

Despite surging demand, the dairy industry faces a critical challenge: processing capacity. High-protein formulations require specialized equipment, and current infrastructure is strained. Fortunately, investment is underway. U.S. dairy processors are committing $11 billion across 19 states to expand capacity and support a projected 15-billion-pound increase in milk production by 2030.10 Major projects include:

 

  • Chobani’s $1.2B plant in New York11

  • Fairlife’s $650M facility, also in New York12

  • Walmart’s $350M dairy plant in Texas13

Cheese leads investment at $3.2B, followed by milk/cream $2.97B and yogurt $2.81B.14

As proteinification and GLP-1 medications reshape the food landscape, dairy is emerging as a strategic choice for consumers seeking functional, satisfying nutrition. With innovation accelerating and infrastructure expanding, dairy is poised to remain a cornerstone of the modern diet—one glass, pouch, or slice at a time.


Subscribe to the Wells Fargo Agri-Food Intelligence newsletter here.


*Since the writing of this article, the Whole Milk for Healthy Kids Act of 2025 was signed into law January 14, 2026. The law revises requirements for milk – including bringing whole and 2% milks back into schools – provided by the USDA. This action will likely cause further fluctuations in the dairy sector.

 


Sources

1. AgProud – 2024 Fluid Milk Sales End Higher, First Time in 15 Years [agproud.com]

2. Food Business News – IFIC Survey Shows 71% of Americans Seek More Protein [foodbusinessnews.net]

3. Nutrition Considerations for Those on GLP1-RA Weight Loss Medications, Mary Finckenor, MA, RDN, CDCES, BC-ADM, CSSD, CCRP

4. GLP-1 drug use cuts grocery spending by 6%, study finds | Food Dive

5. Fluid Milk Sales Rebound in 2024 as Preferences Change - HighGround Dairy

6. Per Capita Cheese Consumption Was Record 40.54 Pounds In 2023 – Cheese Reporter 7. Cheese in France - Statistics & Facts | Statista

8. IDFA – Cottage Cheese Sales Surge 20% [idfa.org]

9. IBIS World-31151- Dairy Product Production in the US

10. Dairy Processing – $11B Investment in U.S. Dairy Processing [dairyprocessing.com]

11. Chobani Breaks Ground For $1.2 Billion Dairy Plant In Rome, NY – Cheese Reporter

12. Fairlife Breaks Ground on $650 Million Facility in New York - Dairy Herd

13. AgProud – Walmart, Fairlife, Chobani Dairy Facility Investments [agproud.com]

14. As Manufacturing Month Begins, IDFA Highlights $11 Billion In Dairy Processing Investment - Cheese Reporter

 

 

 
 

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mmarshall@womeninag.com.

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